Where Does Your Student Actually Have a Shot?
- Posted by admin
- on
- in College Pete
Earlier this week, a parent asked me a question I hear almost every day:
“Can you just tell me where my kid actually has a good shot?”
Not where they hope to get in. Not what the Naviance scattergram suggests. Not what anonymous Reddit posters think.
But where they truly stand… and what to do about it.
First off: That is the exact right question they should be asking.
Because admissions today is not intuitive. It’s not transparent. And it’s certainly not as simple as GPA + test score = result. Full stop.
And, That’s exactly why we built something new.
Introducing the College Pete College Admissions Predictor.
This is not another generic “chance calculator” pulling publicly available admit rates and spitting out a percentage.
This tool was built from:
• Years of real admissions outcomes from our own students
• Proprietary data across thousands of applications
• Pattern recognition from actual strategy work
• The nuanced factors most calculators ignore
It evaluates the whole picture:
• GPA and test scores
• Course rigor within the context of the high school
• Depth (not just quantity) of extracurriculars
• Application positioning factors that matter more than families realize
And here’s what makes it different:
First: it’s built on real student outcomes from our practice, not just university-published statistics.
Second: it reflects how decisions actually get made in a holistic review process. Admissions is more like March Madness than a math equation; lots of strong applicants, very few seats, and outcomes that depend on positioning as much as talent.
But the most important part? It doesn’t just tell you odds. It helps you act.
You can use it to:
• Build an initial college list grounded in reality
• Refine an existing list that may be top-heavy
• Identify a true reach / match / safety balance
• Discover smarter-fit schools (where merit aid is actually in play)
• Get specific suggestions to strengthen positioning
In short: it replaces guesswork with clarity. And clarity changes everything.
You should know that this tool is part of a much bigger vision, turning nearly two decades of admissions and financial aid experience into a smarter, AI-powered planning platform families can actually use. If you’ve followed our work over the years, you know the goal has always been the same:
Access + Affordability + Fit = Success
In curating our data and converting it into a true information tool, we can ensure that more and more students will have a pathway to their dream university. This is the first step.
You can try the Admissions Predictor here:
College Pete College Admissions Predictor
Run a few scenarios. Stress-test your list. Change a variable and see what happens. Think of it like adjusting your swing on the range before tournament day. Better to know now than on Decision Day.
We’re sharing this early because your feedback matters. It will directly shape what we build next.
Let’s make college planning smarter…and calmer.
